I covered the American League 1/3 year awards a couple posts ago; now I'm on to the National League which hasn't had as many surprises as AL, but it's still been an exciting first two months of the season to watch.
Most Surprising Team: St. Louis Cardinals
This is not because I didn't think the Cardinals would do well this year, they have a great squad. The reason why they're my most surprising team is the way in which they've done so well. It's amazing that they're 33-24 without some of their most important players playing up to their usual level. Albert Pujols hasn't hit like he has in the past (he's only on pace to hit 26 home runs this season); Chris Carpenter is 1-5 with a 4.52 ERA. Adam Wainwright has missed the whole season due to injury. Matt Holiday has missed some time this season as well. The reason they've been able to play so well is the resurgence of Lance Berkman, and other players picking up the slack as well.
Most Disappointing Team: Colorado Rockies
For the most part in the NL teams lie were most thought they would at the beginning of the year, so I feel that I'm getting a little nit-picky with calling the Rockies the most disappointing team. For me, they've been the most disappointing since their hot start. When they got off to that great start many people were quick to jump and say that they're going to be the National League Champs, I'm not saying that they still don't have a chance. They always seem to get hot in September, but this team has it's weaknesses. Aside from Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and Todd Helton, this team has some serious question marks in its line up. But unlike the Giants, they don't really have the pitching to cover up those whole's in their lineup especially with the recent loss of Jorge Dela Rosa for the rest of the season. Ubaldo Jimenez has not pitched like he did last; in fact he recorded his first win of the season last night. The Rockies haven't been that bad this year, but they're my most disappointing by default when you look at their expectations going into the season.
Most Surprising Player: Lance Berkman
I can't be the only one that didn't see this coming? Berkman's numbers had been declining the last couple years, especially last year when he hit only .248 with 14 home runs and 58 RBI's. Those are not the numbers of a middle of the order hitter. Well this year he has been reborn in St. Louis, hitting .329 with 11 home runs and 36 RBI's already at age 35. My theory is that Berkman hit rock bottom last year and this motivated him to get into great shape in the off-season, and it shows. I remember watching him last year on the Astros, he looked like a corpse out their. But this year he looks rejuvenated, which his numbers show, especially his power numbers. Last year he played for the Astros and Yankees in two of the most offensive ballparks in the majors and only hit 14 home runs. This year he's already got 11 for St. Louis.
Most Disappointing Player: Ubaldo Jimenez
How can he not be the most disappointing player so far this season? He recorded his first win of the year YESTERDAY in June. I think by June of last year he was around 6-0 or 7-0 with an ERA around 1.00; this year it's a different story where he sits at 1-5 with an ERA of 4.98. He's already walked 30 batters in 59.2 innings. That's nearly a walk every 2 innings which is terrible. Yesterday he flashed the Ubaldo of old throwing a complete game shutout to record that first win. Maybe that will be the start that propels him back to his form of last year, but so far, he's been a disappointment.
MVP: Jay Bruce
Jay Bruce has burst onto the scene this year, leading the NL in home runs at 17 and RBI's at 46, with a respectable .292 average to boot. He's helped keep the Reds afloat in a tough NL Central division in which the tough Cardinals stand atop. Bruce is finally starting to show the hitting tools that made him the top prospect in all of baseball in 2008.
Cy Young: Jair Jurrjens
7-1, 1.51 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 65.2 innings pitched over 9 starts (that's an average of around 7 innings a start). I don't even have to write anymore about Jurrjens, he's been the clear cut Cy Young in the National League so far this season. He's been down right dominant. Oh and by the way, the one game he lost, he only gave up 2 runs. Get at him.
Predictions:
West: San Francisco Giants
Now, don't be too quick to count these Giants out of the NL West race just because of the loss of Buster Posey last week. In any other division in baseball such a loss probably would count them out, but fortunately for the Giants they reside in what I believe is the weakest division in baseball. The Giants weren't scoring many runs with Posey in the lineup anyways, but their pitching has been fantastic. The highest ERA on the entire pitching staff is from Jeremy Affeldt at 5.40, the next highest is Matt Cain at 3.88 which is still pretty good. Their biggest problem is their hitting, but they are bound to pick it up at some point especially with the imminent return of Pablo Sandoval to the lineup next week. Another reason why you have to like the Giants is that they're 15-6 in games decided by 1 run. That has to be the most important statistic a team like the Giants can have on their side.
Central: St. Louis Cardinals
I really like the Cardinals especially with the way they've played without some of their top players producing. This scares me. Once they start hitting on all cylinders they're truly going to be a tough team, and I don't know if anybody else in that division will be able to bypass the Cardinals to win the Central this year.
East: Philadelphia Phillies
I've got Five reasons: 1) Roy Halladay, 2) Cliff Lee, 3) Roy Oswalt, 4) Cole Hamels, 5) A deep line up with no easy outs minus the pitcher's spot. They're just starting to get Chase Utley back too which is only going to help them more and they've already got the best record in baseball at 34-22.
Wild Card: Atlanta Braves
I like Atlanta to get hot in the last couple months of the seasons and to take the wild card and run with it. I've
already covered before why I think the Braves are going to be contenders before, but just to review, they've got a stacked rotation 1-5, a very good young bullpen that's only going to get better as the season goes, and a nice lineup with a good mix of veterans and youngens that's also going to improve as the season goes.
NLCS: Braves Vs. Phillies
NL Champions: Braves in 7
World Series: Red Sox over Braves in 6
And as always
Just Score.